SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 13.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
66.88% ( -0.33) | 19.28% ( 0.13) | 13.84% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.11) | 42.31% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( -0.11) | 64.71% ( 0.11) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.27% ( -0.12) | 11.73% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.13% ( -0.26) | 36.87% ( 0.26) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.58% ( 0.24) | 42.42% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% ( 0.2) | 78.8% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 2-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.62% Total : 66.87% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.28% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.5% Total : 13.84% |
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