SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
48.65% ( -0.07) | 25.28% ( 0.08) | 26.07% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.97% ( -0.33) | 51.03% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( -0.29) | 72.89% ( 0.29) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( -0.16) | 20.99% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.24% ( -0.25) | 53.76% ( 0.26) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( -0.18) | 34.25% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% ( -0.2) | 70.95% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.07% |
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