SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
24.45% ( -0.29) | 26.63% ( 0.02) | 48.92% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.71% ( -0.27) | 57.29% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.87% ( -0.22) | 78.13% ( 0.22) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% ( -0.42) | 39.09% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( -0.39) | 75.81% ( 0.39) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( 0) | 23.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.48% ( 0.01) | 57.52% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.45% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 48.92% |
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