SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Jonoon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Shenzhen |
66.89% ( -0.93) | 19.69% ( 0.42) | 13.42% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.63) | 45.08% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( -0.61) | 67.42% ( 0.61) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( -0.45) | 12.54% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.42% ( -0.94) | 38.58% ( 0.94) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.22% ( 0.41) | 44.78% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.24% ( 0.33) | 80.76% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 2-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 66.88% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.7% | 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.28% Total : 13.42% |
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