Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantong Zhiyun in this match.