SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
71.63% ( 0.35) | 17% ( -0.1) | 11.37% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.22) | 37.81% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.23) | 60.06% ( 0.24) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.69% ( 0.02) | 9.31% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.6% ( 0.06) | 31.4% ( -0.06) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.56% ( -0.57) | 43.44% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.34% ( -0.48) | 79.66% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.1% Total : 71.62% | 1-1 @ 8% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.99% Total : 17% | 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.37% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
