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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Jul 17, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Shanghai Stadium
MH

Sh. Shenhua
2 - 1
Meizhou Hakka

Bassogog (42' pen.), Hanchao (63')
Yang (77'), Amadou (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henrique (45+3')
Jie (33'), Dugalic (40'), Liao (86'), Liao (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shandong 3-0 Sh. Shenhua
Tuesday, July 11 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 3-1 Beijing Guoan
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 Meizhou Hakka

Shenhua will be hoping the defeat in their last home outing was just a minor blip, and they can quickly return to the form which had seen them go on a seven-month unbeaten run here. Meizhou will be confident of claiming another scalp after beating two sides in the top six, but they may find that slightly more difficult on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Shenhua.

Result
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawMeizhou Hakka
44.18% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 27.13% (-0.052 -0.05) 28.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.31% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35% (0.181 0.18)56.65% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (0.144 0.14)77.61% (-0.148 -0.15)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.111 0.11)25.49% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.155 0.16)60.32% (-0.157 -0.16)
Meizhou Hakka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (0.088999999999999 0.09)35.16% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (0.091000000000001 0.09)71.91% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Shenhua 44.17%
    Meizhou Hakka 28.68%
    Draw 27.13%
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawMeizhou Hakka
1-0 @ 12.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.96% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 28.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shandong 3-0 Sh. Shenhua
Tuesday, July 11 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-2 Tianjin Jinmen
Sunday, July 2 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun
Wednesday, June 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Thursday, June 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Sunday, June 4 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 3-1 Beijing Guoan
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 3-1 Chengdu Qianbao
Friday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Nantong Zhiyun 2-2 Meizhou Hakka
Sunday, July 2 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-0 Meizhou Hakka
Wednesday, June 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 2-3 Cangzhou
Friday, June 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 2-1 Meizhou Hakka
Saturday, June 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League


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