SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Shenhua.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
44.18% ( 0.06) | 27.13% ( -0.05) | 28.68% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.35% ( 0.18) | 56.65% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( 0.14) | 77.61% ( -0.15) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.11) | 25.49% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( 0.16) | 60.32% ( -0.16) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.84% ( 0.09) | 35.16% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.09% ( 0.09) | 71.91% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.68% |
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