SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
58.42% ( 0.44) | 24.01% ( -0.02) | 17.57% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.74% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.09% ( -0.5) | 54.91% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.8% ( -0.41) | 76.2% ( 0.41) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( -0.03) | 18.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% ( -0.04) | 49.9% ( 0.03) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.97% ( -0.81) | 45.02% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.05% ( -0.66) | 80.95% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 58.4% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.61% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.57% |
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