SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
47.01% ( 0.56) | 24.76% ( -0.1) | 28.23% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( 0.15) | 47.4% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% ( 0.14) | 69.62% ( -0.14) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( 0.3) | 20.22% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.46% ( 0.48) | 52.54% ( -0.48) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( -0.26) | 30.65% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( -0.31) | 66.89% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.01% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.23% |
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