SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
31.87% ( -0.24) | 28% ( 0.01) | 40.13% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.29% ( -0.09) | 58.71% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.76% ( -0.07) | 79.24% ( 0.07) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( -0.22) | 33.87% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.46% ( -0.24) | 70.54% ( 0.24) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0.09) | 28.61% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( 0.11) | 64.42% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.87% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.13% |
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