SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
23.19% ( 0.13) | 25.57% ( 0.15) | 51.24% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( -0.45) | 54.42% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% ( -0.38) | 75.79% ( 0.38) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.34% ( -0.14) | 38.66% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.6% ( -0.13) | 75.4% ( 0.13) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( -0.3) | 21.27% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% ( -0.47) | 54.19% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.19% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.23% |
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