SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 74.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 8.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.59%) and 3-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Guangzhou City |
74.33% ( -0.4) | 17.49% ( 0.24) | 8.17% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 37.18% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( -0.5) | 49.78% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( -0.45) | 71.79% ( 0.45) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( -0.25) | 11.82% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.94% ( -0.54) | 37.06% ( 0.54) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.17% ( 0.06) | 57.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.5% ( 0.03) | 89.5% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Guangzhou City |
| 2-0 @ 15.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.59% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.7% Total : 74.31% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.49% | 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.22% Total : 8.18% |
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