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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Sep 25, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Shanghai Stadium

Shanghai Port
2 - 0
Guangzhou City

Shenchao (32'), Ndiaye (42')
Huikang (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gong (18'), Teng (71'), Jihong (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Henan 1-2 Shanghai Port
Tuesday, September 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou City 1-0 Guangzhou
Tuesday, September 13 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Shanghai Port 2-0 Guangzhou City

Despite their recent resurgence, Guangzhou City have it all to do in this one against opponents of vastly superior quality. We are backing the home side to cruise to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 74.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 8.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.59%) and 3-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match.

Result
Shanghai PortDrawGuangzhou City
74.33% (-0.396 -0.4) 17.49% (0.244 0.24) 8.17% (0.1529 0.15)
Both teams to score 37.18% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (-0.499 -0.5)49.78% (0.501 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (-0.449 -0.45)71.79% (0.45 0.45)
Shanghai Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.18% (-0.249 -0.25)11.82% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.94% (-0.536 -0.54)37.06% (0.537 0.54)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.17% (0.058 0.06)57.83% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.5% (0.030999999999999 0.03)89.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Port 74.31%
    Guangzhou City 8.18%
    Draw 17.49%
Shanghai PortDrawGuangzhou City
2-0 @ 15.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 14.59% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 11.09% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.92% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.53% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 74.31%
1-1 @ 7.99% (0.097 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 2.34% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 17.49%
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.082 0.08)
1-2 @ 2.19% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 8.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Henan 1-2 Shanghai Port
Tuesday, September 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 0-0 Shanghai Port
Thursday, September 1 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-0 Tianjin Jinmen
Saturday, August 27 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-1 Zhejiang
Saturday, August 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 2-0 Shenzhen
Tuesday, August 16 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 1-1 Shanghai Port
Saturday, August 6 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou City 1-0 Guangzhou
Tuesday, September 13 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou City 2-0 Tianjin Jinmen
Saturday, September 3 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou City 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Saturday, August 27 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 1-0 Guangzhou City
Monday, August 22 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 2-1 Guangzhou City
Wednesday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou City 0-5 Wuhan
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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