SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shandong Taishan | 10 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shanghai Port |
20.33% ( 1.47) | 24.87% ( 0.71) | 54.79% ( -2.18) |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.32% ( -0.9) | 54.68% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.99% ( -0.76) | 76% ( 0.76) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.3% ( 1.11) | 41.69% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.83% ( 0.96) | 78.17% ( -0.96) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( -1.19) | 19.92% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% ( -1.96) | 52.05% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.14% Total : 20.33% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.81% ( -0.43)1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.78% |
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