Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 71.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.92%) and 3-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
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