SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Guangzhou City | 10 | -21 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Wuhan |
25% ( 0.12) | 25.69% ( -0.04) | 49.31% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.57% ( 0.23) | 53.43% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( 0.2) | 74.96% ( -0.19) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% ( 0.23) | 36.46% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.75% ( 0.24) | 73.25% ( -0.23) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( 0.06) | 21.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% ( 0.09) | 54.85% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Wuhan |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 25% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.3% |
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