SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Guangzhou City | 10 | -21 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Guangzhou City |
63.08% ( -0.07) | 21.7% ( 0.07) | 15.21% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.58% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.17% ( -0.27) | 49.82% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% ( -0.24) | 71.82% ( 0.24) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( -0.11) | 15.19% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.18% ( -0.21) | 43.82% ( 0.21) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.16) | 45.08% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19% ( -0.13) | 80.99% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Guangzhou City |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 63.07% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 15.22% |
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