Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
