SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Guangzhou City | 10 | -21 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 73.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.86%) and 0-3 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
9.11% ( 0.46) | 17.26% ( 0.72) | 73.64% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.7% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.13% ( -1.7) | 45.88% ( 1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% ( -1.63) | 68.19% ( 1.64) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.81% ( -0.08) | 53.19% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.23% ( -0.05) | 86.77% ( 0.06) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.08% ( -0.75) | 10.93% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.88% ( -1.7) | 35.12% ( 1.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.11% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 17.26% | 0-2 @ 14.24% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.52)0-3 @ 10.51% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 5.82% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.21)0-5 @ 2.58% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.49% Total : 73.63% |
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