Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.