SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 9.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.26%) and 0-3 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
9.72% ( -0.57) | 16.78% ( -0.28) | 73.5% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 45.75% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% ( -0.46) | 41.81% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% ( -0.47) | 64.21% ( 0.47) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.77% ( -1.44) | 49.22% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.88% ( -1.04) | 84.11% ( 1.04) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.11% ( 0.08) | 9.88% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.23% ( 0.2) | 32.76% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.22% Total : 9.72% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.78% | 0-2 @ 13.02% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 10.05% ( 0.32)1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 7.12% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 5.81% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.69% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 1.91% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.07)0-6 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.24% Total : 73.49% |
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