SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
53.67% ( 0.21) | 23.26% ( -0.12) | 23.07% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( 0.41) | 45.18% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( 0.4) | 67.52% ( -0.4) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( 0.23) | 16.77% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.28% ( 0.4) | 46.72% ( -0.41) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( 0.14) | 33.64% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( 0.15) | 70.29% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.07% |
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