SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
58.9% ( 0.52) | 21.93% ( -0.16) | 19.18% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% ( 0.21) | 44.26% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.36% ( 0.2) | 66.63% ( -0.2) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( 0.24) | 14.68% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.14% ( 0.46) | 42.86% ( -0.46) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( -0.26) | 36.92% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( -0.26) | 73.71% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 58.9% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 19.18% |
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