Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
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