SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sichuan Jiuniu in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
51.3% ( 0.01) | 23.56% ( 0.02) | 25.14% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.62% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( -0.13) | 44.45% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( -0.13) | 66.82% ( 0.13) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( -0.05) | 17.37% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.23% ( -0.08) | 47.77% ( 0.09) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( -0.09) | 31.48% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( -0.11) | 67.86% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 51.3% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 25.14% |
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