SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
53.31% ( -0.34) | 22.99% ( 0.32) | 23.7% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.7% ( -1.43) | 43.3% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( -1.42) | 65.7% ( 1.43) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( -0.63) | 16.22% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.27% ( -1.16) | 45.73% ( 1.16) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.94% ( -0.76) | 32.06% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.47% ( -0.88) | 68.53% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.31% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 23.7% |
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