SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
69.12% ( -0.12) | 17.53% ( 0.05) | 13.35% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.89% ( -0.07) | 35.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.89% ( -0.08) | 57.11% ( 0.08) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.81% ( -0.05) | 9.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.88% ( -0.11) | 31.12% ( 0.11) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.05) | 38.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( 0.05) | 75.25% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
| 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 69.12% | 1-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.53% | 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 13.35% |
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