Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 39%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
-0.82) 
0.94) 
