SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Henan |
37.29% ( -0.41) | 25.19% ( -0.05) | 37.52% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( 0.24) | 46.54% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( 0.23) | 68.81% ( -0.23) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.11) | 24.51% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( -0.15) | 58.97% ( 0.15) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( 0.36) | 24.38% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( 0.5) | 58.8% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Henan |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.52% |
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