SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
39.89% ( 0.05) | 24.12% ( -0.01) | 36% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.91% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( 0.05) | 41.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( 0.05) | 63.94% ( -0.04) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 0.05) | 20.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.27% ( 0.07) | 53.73% ( -0.06) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( 0) | 22.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.31% ( 0) | 56.69% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.89% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 36% |
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