SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 9.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
72.73% ( -0.05) | 17.33% ( 0.02) | 9.94% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.76% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0) | 43.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( -0.01) | 66.01% ( 0.01) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.44% ( -0.01) | 10.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.71% ( -0.03) | 34.29% ( 0.03) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.04% ( 0.05) | 49.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.37% ( 0.04) | 84.63% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 72.72% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.33% | 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 9.94% |
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