SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Henan had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Henan win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
30.57% ( -0.03) | 25.81% ( 0.01) | 43.63% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.36% ( -0.05) | 50.64% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( -0.05) | 72.55% ( 0.05) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.05) | 30.63% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( -0.06) | 66.87% ( 0.06) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( -0.01) | 23.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% ( -0.02) | 56.96% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.57% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.63% |
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