SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Henan |
20.18% ( 0.04) | 24.51% ( 0.19) | 55.31% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 47.51% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% ( -0.65) | 53.48% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( -0.55) | 75% ( 0.55) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( -0.33) | 41.17% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( -0.29) | 77.7% ( 0.29) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( -0.33) | 19.25% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.03% ( -0.55) | 50.97% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Henan |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.18% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.29% |
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