SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
36.3% ( -0.4) | 24.97% ( 0.18) | 38.73% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.44% ( -0.87) | 45.55% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% ( -0.84) | 67.88% ( 0.84) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.62) | 24.6% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -0.88) | 59.1% ( 0.88) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( -0.28) | 23.31% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% ( -0.4) | 57.25% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.73% |
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