SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
21.6% ( -0.45) | 23.62% ( -0.12) | 54.79% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( -0.01) | 48.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( -0) | 70.48% ( 0.01) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( -0.44) | 36.78% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.43% ( -0.44) | 73.57% ( 0.45) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0.21) | 17.52% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.96% ( 0.36) | 48.04% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.6% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.78% |
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