SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shenzhen | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Wuhan | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Shanghai Port | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Guangzhou City | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shanghai Port |
33.67% ( 0.9) | 26.87% ( 0.01) | 39.46% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( 0.14) | 54.08% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( 0.11) | 75.5% ( -0.12) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( 0.66) | 30.27% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( 0.79) | 66.44% ( -0.79) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( -0.44) | 26.8% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% ( -0.58) | 62.09% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.67% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.46% |
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