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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Auckland City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Auckland City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ain | Draw | Auckland City |
46.35% ( -0.1) | 22.19% ( -0) | 31.46% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 66.61% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.54% ( 0.06) | 33.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.74% ( 0.07) | 55.25% ( -0.08) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.95% ( -0.01) | 15.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.45% ( -0.02) | 43.54% ( 0.01) |
| Auckland City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( 0.08) | 21.59% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.31% ( 0.13) | 54.69% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ain | Draw | Auckland City |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 31.46% |
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