Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Al-Ain had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for an Al-Ain win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.
Result | ||
Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Ain |
66.2% ( 1.3) | 17.28% ( -0.47) | 16.53% ( -0.84) |
Both teams to score 65.77% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.49% ( 0.72) | 26.52% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.13% ( 0.91) | 46.87% ( -0.91) |
Al-Hilal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.43% ( 0.45) | 7.58% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.88% ( 1.16) | 27.12% ( -1.16) |
Al-Ain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% ( -0.39) | 28.85% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% ( -0.49) | 64.71% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Ain |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.14) 5-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.51% Total : 66.2% | 1-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.28% | 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.63% Total : 16.53% |
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