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AFC Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium

Al-Ain
4 - 2
Al-Hilal

Rahimi (6', 26' pen., 38' pen.), Romero (56' pen.)
Al Baloushi (9'), Erik (45+7'), Rahimi (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Malcom (49'), Al-Dawsari (78')
Al-Owais (26'), Albulayhi (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ain (1-3 pen.)
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Al-Ain 0-1 Al-Hilal

This is a tough one to call. Al-Ain have home advantage and past success there, but Al-Hilal's incredible form is undeniable. We expect a close match, but Al-Hilal's inevitability might just see them through in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 0-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 2-1 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-AinDrawAl-Hilal
21.22% (-0.204 -0.2) 20.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 58.5% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 63.17% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.45% (-0.182 -0.18)33.55% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.64% (-0.208 -0.21)55.36% (0.212 0.21)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.279 -0.28)28.73% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.352 -0.35)64.57% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)11.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)36.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ain 21.22%
    Al-Hilal 58.5%
    Draw 20.28%
Al-AinDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 5.52% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 21.22%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.28%
1-2 @ 9.63% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.98% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.6% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.04% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ain (1-3 pen.)
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 1-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 2-1 Nasaf
Wednesday, February 21 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Nasaf 0-0 Al-Ain
Wednesday, February 14 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Ahal 1-2 Al-Ain
Tuesday, December 5 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 1-3 Pakhtakor
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-4 Al-Hilal
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al Okhdood
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 3-4 Al-Hilal
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Damac
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, March 12 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-3 Al-Hilal
Friday, March 8 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League


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