Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
