Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
