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MC
Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
LL

Man City
2 - 5
Leicester

Mahrez (4'), Ake (84')
Ake (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vardy (37' pen., 54', 58' pen.), Maddison (77'), Tielemans (88' pen.)
Tielemans (22'), Soyuncu (47'), Amartey (51')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester CityDrawLeicester City
67.26%18.23%14.51%
Both teams to score 56.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.26%35.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.19%57.81%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21%9.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.46%32.54%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71%37.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.92%74.08%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 67.26%
    Leicester City 14.51%
    Draw 18.23%
Manchester CityDrawLeicester City
2-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.48%
3-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 2.06%
5-1 @ 2.04%
5-2 @ 1%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 67.26%
1-1 @ 8.37%
2-2 @ 4.8%
0-0 @ 3.65%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.23%
1-2 @ 4.13%
0-1 @ 3.6%
0-2 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.58%
1-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 14.51%


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