Brighton
3 - 2
Man City

Trossard (50'), Webster (72'), Burn (76')
Jahanbakhsh (27'), Webster (90+3'), Sanchez (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gundogan (2'), Foden (48')
Silva (73'), Rodri (79'), Fernandinho (82')
Cancelo (10')

Preview

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Manchester City
19.21%	21.88%	58.91%

Both teams to score 54.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97%

44.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59%

66.41%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.25%

36.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.46%

73.54%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39%

14.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.3%

42.7%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 19.21%

Manchester City 58.9%

Draw 21.88%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 5.37% 2-1 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 2.69% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.59% Total : 19.21%	1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 5.37% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.93% 1-3 @ 6.38% 0-3 @ 6.37% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 3.07% 0-4 @ 3.06% 2-4 @ 1.54% 1-5 @ 1.18% 0-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.9%