SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 38.5% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.07%) and 1-3 (5.04%). The likeliest Barbados win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barbados | Draw | Bahamas |
38.5% ( 4.57) | 20.44% ( 0.39) | 41.05% ( -4.97) |
| Both teams to score 75.76% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.44% ( -0.97) | 22.55% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.35% ( -1.33) | 41.64% ( 1.32) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.6% ( 1.28) | 13.39% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( 2.53) | 40.31% ( -2.53) |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.47% ( -1.88) | 12.52% ( 1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.45% ( -4.04) | 38.54% ( 4.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barbados | Draw | Bahamas |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.6) 3-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.6)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.51)1-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.37)4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.43)4-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.26)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.17% Total : 38.5% | 2-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.1) 1-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.05% Total : 20.44% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.58)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.3)0-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.38)1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.53)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.42)3-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.34)2-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.26)1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.32)Other @ 3.57% Total : 41.05% |
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