SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Bahamas had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Bahamas win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barbados would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahamas | Draw | Barbados |
29.2% ( -0.76) | 23.07% ( -0.15) | 47.72% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( 0.24) | 39.09% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.59% ( 0.26) | 61.41% ( -0.25) |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.37) | 25.73% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( -0.5) | 60.66% ( 0.51) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( 0.44) | 16.68% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.44% ( 0.78) | 46.56% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahamas | Draw | Barbados |
| 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.3% Total : 47.72% |
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