SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 76.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Bahamas win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Bahamas |
76.56% ( 0.45) | 14.68% ( 0.01) | 8.76% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( -2.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.27% ( -1.73) | 34.73% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.31% ( -1.97) | 56.68% ( 1.97) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.52% ( -0.3) | 7.48% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.13% ( -0.78) | 26.86% ( 0.78) |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.59% ( -2.23) | 46.4% ( 2.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.97% ( -1.76) | 82.03% ( 1.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Bahamas |
| 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.66) 3-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.42)1-0 @ 9% ( 0.65)2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.2)6-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.06% Total : 76.55% | 1-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.86% Total : 14.68% | 0-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 8.76% |
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