SM
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 75.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 9.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.83%) and 0-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| British Virgin Islands | Draw | Dominica |
9.42% ( -0.01) | 15.36% ( -0.01) | 75.22% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.19% ( 0.02) | 35.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.12% ( 0.02) | 57.88% ( -0.02) |
| British Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.25% ( -0.01) | 45.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.48% ( -0) | 81.52% ( 0.01) |
| Dominica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.99% ( 0.01) | 8.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.78% ( 0.03) | 28.22% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| British Virgin Islands | Draw | Dominica |
| 1-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 2-1 @ 2.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.68% Total : 9.42% | 1-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 15.36% | 0-2 @ 11.67% 0-3 @ 9.83% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 6.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.85% ( 0)0-5 @ 3.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.01% 1-5 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.32% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.03% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 75.22% |
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