SM
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turks and Caicos | Draw | Dominica |
29.56% ( -0.05) | 24.27% ( 0.01) | 46.17% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( -0.05) | 44.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( -0.05) | 66.83% ( 0.05) |
| Turks and Caicos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( -0.06) | 28.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( -0.07) | 63.9% ( 0.07) |
| Dominica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% | 19.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% | 51.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Turks and Caicos | Draw | Dominica |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 46.17% |
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