SM
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a British Virgin Islands win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 38.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a British Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that British Virgin Islands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| British Virgin Islands | Draw | Turks and Caicos |
38.59% ( 0.37) | 23.27% ( -0.09) | 38.14% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 64.3% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.79% ( 0.47) | 37.21% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.58% ( 0.51) | 59.41% ( -0.51) |
| British Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.38) | 19.71% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.28% ( 0.62) | 51.71% ( -0.62) |
| Turks and Caicos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( 0.07) | 19.92% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% ( 0.12) | 52.05% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| British Virgin Islands | Draw | Turks and Caicos |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.25% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 38.14% |
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