SM
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| British Virgin Islands | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
12.75% ( 0.34) | 18.77% ( 0.24) | 68.48% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.25) | 42.52% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% ( -0.26) | 64.92% ( 0.26) |
| British Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.79% ( 0.38) | 44.2% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.71% ( 0.31) | 80.29% ( -0.31) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.64% ( -0.22) | 11.36% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.93% ( -0.49) | 36.07% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| British Virgin Islands | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 1-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.27% Total : 12.75% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.77% | 0-2 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 8.61% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4.68% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 68.46% |
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