SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 69.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Saint Kitts and Nevis in this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | British Virgin Islands |
69.47% ( -0.14) | 17.47% ( 0.02) | 13.05% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.43% ( 0.19) | 35.57% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.38% ( 0.21) | 57.62% ( -0.21) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.77% ( 0.02) | 9.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.79% ( 0.04) | 31.21% ( -0.04) |
| British Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.76% ( 0.3) | 39.24% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.05% ( 0.28) | 75.95% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | British Virgin Islands |
| 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 69.47% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.47% | 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.73% Total : 13.05% |
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