SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
15.73% ( -0) | 20.37% ( 0) | 63.9% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.79% ( -0.01) | 43.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.01) | 65.6% ( 0.01) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.64% ( -0.01) | 40.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.02% ( -0.01) | 76.97% ( 0.01) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( -0) | 12.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.82% ( -0) | 39.18% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Marino | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 15.73% | 1-1 @ 9.65% 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.37% | 0-2 @ 10.91% 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.22% Total : 63.89% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
